Return and volatility spillovers among global assets: Comparing health crisis with geopolitical crisis

This study investigates the dynamic mechanism across equity, cryptocurrency, and commodity markets before and during health and geopolitical crisis (Covid-19 and the Ukrainian war). We apply the (TVP-VAR) based extended joint connectedness methodology, to understand return and volatility connectedness of financial markets for 2010–2023 period. The empirical results indicate that spillovers were particularly high during the Covid-19 and Russia-Ukraine war. First, health and geopolitical risks considerably impact the return and volatility system. Second, the value of total joint connectedness during the COVID-19 period was greater than during Russia-Ukraine war crisis. Also, evidence suggests that Commodity markets, received the highest shocks from other markets after Russia-Ukraine war and wheat was the main commodity receiving chocks from both health and geopolitical crisis. Our findings indicate that spillover channels differ depending on the type of crisis. Specifically, low-frequency components are the main transmission channels during the health crisis, whereas high-frequency components are the main transmission channels during the geopolitical crisis. Finally, results indicate that, cryptocurrency markets played some minor role in transmitting risks between markets. Our results are important in understanding how assets affect return and volatility spillover during geopolitical and health crises and are of particular importance to policymakers, market regulators, investors, and portfolio managers.

Risk connectedness between energy and stock markets: Evidence from oil importing and exporting countries

The surmounted environmental and energy challenges have motivated this study to explore the connectedness nexus between oil/renewable energy and stock markets for oil-exporting (importing) countries. We utilize the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC-GARCH) connectedness framework to compare the connectedness of oil/renewable energy with stock markets. Our results showcase higher total connectedness between renewable energy and stock markets. We find increased connectedness during three major pandemics (Swine Flu, EBOLA, and COVID-19). We performed a regression analysis that highlighted the impact of economic and financial uncertainties on connectedness as an additional analysis. The addition of dummy variables for three major pandemics indicates that COVID-19 significantly impacted the connectedness between oil/renewable energy and stock markets. For the robustness of our results, we employed time-varying vector autoregressions (TVP-VAR) connectedness framework to showcase that our results remain qualitatively similar and robust to different specifications. We draw useful implications for oil exporting and oil importing countries in particular, and we draft ramifications for investors, portfolio managers, policymakers, and macroprudential bodies in general.

Is FinTech providing effective solutions to Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in ASEAN countries?

With the continuous boom of FinTech, the similar features of different platforms provide effective solutions for small and medium enterprises. This study examines whether FinTech offers useful business mechanisms for SMEs in selected ASEAN countries. The ASEAN countries included in the study are Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippine, Singapore, and Thailand. The study employed factor analysis and segregated the FinTech-SME nexus into five factors. The responses of 300 SME owners were collected through interview questionnaires and surveys. We find that new FinTech and SMEs ‘collisions’ (our term for new utilization) during COVID-19 are the most important factors in the growth of FinTech and the strength of SMEs. Further, we utilized the Kruskal–Wallis test to validate our results and for ranking the factors alongside the ASEAN countries. We present useful implications for policymakers, regulatory bodies, ASEAN countries, and SMEs for welcoming FinTech solutions to facilitate digital transactions.

Return and volatility spillovers between energy and BRIC markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness

Using the quantile connectedness approach for the median, lower, and upper quantiles, we examine the return and volatility connectedness between energy and BRIC markets from January 1, 2000, to July 9, 2021. We find that uncertain economic activity and intense periods characterize energy and BRIC market returns and volatility connectedness. A parallel return and volatility connectedness structure for upper and lower quantiles against the average quantile revealed different results. Time-varying features are substantiated between energy and BRIC markets;significant distress events, such as the Global Financial Crisis, European Debt Crisis, Shale Oil Revolution, and COVID-19 pandemic, intensified spillovers. We highlight diversification avenues for energy and BRIC markets given the periods of financial turmoil, with investors’ concerns widely addressed by opt-in investment opportunities with lower risk and greater diversification. Our study has beneficial implications for policymakers, regulators, investors, and financial market constituents to redevelop their existing strategies to avoid financial losses.